Why People are buying into AI Doomerism

Artificial Intelligence isn’t looming. It’s landed.

Across boardrooms, hospitals, law firms, and startups, machines are already outperforming the knowledge worker—not in theory, but in production.

You’re not watching the start of a shift. You’re standing inside it.

This piece is your map through the storm, told in three parts:

1. The Fear — Why AI panic is gripping headlines and reshaping jobs faster than people can reskill.

2. The Fog — What most are missing while staring at layoffs and hype cycles.

3. The Playbook — How to avoid obsolescence and emerge on the other side—not just employed, but amplified.

The bad news: no one is safe.

The good news: anyone can adapt.

Let’s begin.

Why People are buying into AI Doomerism

Despite ongoing debates over benchmarks and bias, a stark reality is taking shape: across reasoning, problem-solving, expertise, judgment, and business outcomes, today’s AI models have already eclipsed the average human — especially in structured cognitive tasks.

• AI outperforms Doctors using AI: AI working independently achieved 92% accuracy, while physicians using AI were at 76% — barely better than the 74 percent they achieved without AI (New York Times, 2025).

• AI delivers business outcomes: JPMorgan’s Coach AI tool enabled a 20% increase in gross sales and a 50% expansion in client capacity (Reuters, 2024).

• AI replaces expertise: GitHub Copilot now contributes over 60% of all code in repositories where it’s enabled (GitHub, 2024).

• AI drafts legal memos: Law firms are already using AI tools to draft legal arguments and summarize case law—tasks once assigned to associates, yielding 30-40% time savings on research and drafting (Harvey AI, 2024).

• Microsoft, Google, Anthropic, Meta say 95% of all code will be written by AI by 2030 erasing the need of Junior to mid-range developers (Business Insider, 2025).

• There’s almost nothing humans do that AI won’t eventually do better—or cheaper. Believing that human ingenuity is protected by some ineffable magic is no longer defensible.

The chatbot is the decoy. Behind it is an industrial-grade cognitive engine—running sales orgs, writing code, reviewing contracts, diagnosing illness, and generating multimillion-dollar campaigns.

• People think AI is just chatbots. Gary Marcus warns, “We are building systems whose internal workings we don’t fully understand, yet are being rapidly deployed into critical infrastructure.”

• Even its creators are alarmed. “We don’t have machines with common sense,” says Yann LeCun, Chief AI Scientist at Meta. “They’re brittle.” But companies are embedding them in healthcare, law, finance, and education—regardless.

• These consumer-facing tools are just the front end. Under the hood, multi-modal AI—text, video, speech, robotics—is being trained to execute not just ideas, but action.

The big picture: For the first time, a technology threatens roles from interns to C-suite executives. Every major company is racing to adopt AI—not just to gain an edge, but to survive the next wave.

• AI isn’t targeting departments. It’s targeting functions.

• Bain is piloting AI for partner-level analysis, (Bain & Company) and 38% of Fortune 100 CEOs now use AI for strategic planning, according to IBM’s 2025 executive survey.

• White-collar work is being sliced apart. Amazon (~27,500), Google (~14,000), Microsoft (~18,000), and Meta (~22,000) have made deep cuts since 2023. Even McKinsey launched its internal assistant Lilli—then initiated the largest layoff in the firm’s history (Fortune 2025).

• Collectively, Fortune 500 companies have cut over 400,000 roles since 2023. Nearly half were white-collar. AI-driven “efficiency” was the top reason cited in earnings calls (Layoffs.fyi, CNBC).

Talk vs. action: Leaders insist AI will enhance human potential. Yet their actions—systematic workforce reductions—paint a different reality.

• McKinsey projects AI could automate tasks in up to 70% of jobs. But instead of retooling teams to harness this shift, companies are opting to erase and rebuild.

• The calculus has changed: when productivity gains no longer require human scale, the incentive to retain staff vanishes.

• In a system built to maximize shareholder value, these decisions aren’t cruel—they’re logical. And they’re just getting started.

What’s changing: The logic of employment is being rewritten. In the old model, headcount scaled with demand. In the new AI paradigm, productivity decouples from people. As incentives shift, even professions once thought untouchable—like medicine—are being restructured from the ground up.

Do we really need more doctors?
The U.S. healthcare system is burning out its workforce:

• Over 62% of physicians report burnout (AMA, 2025).

• Suicide rates among doctors are among the highest of any profession (NIH, 2022).

• 20%+ are considering early retirement (AMA, 2022).

Enter Advanced Practice Providers (APPs)—nurse practitioners and physician assistants:

• APPs now perform surgeries, lead primary care, and handle complex cases once reserved for MDs.

• In rural areas, over 50% of primary care is provided by APPs.

• Emotional support? Often delivered by nurses, counselors, chaplains—not doctors.

And AI?

• Google’s Med-PaLM 2 achieved 85%+ on USMLE-style questions—outperforming most human test-takers (Nature, 2023).

The Result: The ~$600K salary for MDs becomes harder to justify when diagnosis and treatment are delegated to cheaper, faster systems.

Don’t take it personally.

• This isn’t about you. It’s about a system that now finds you less economically necessary.

• Competing with something exponentially faster, cheaper, and more precise is a losing battle. This isn’t about individual failure—it’s a systemic shift. The challenge now isn’t remorse or resistance. It’s reinvention.

So what’s actually happening behind the curtain?

Everyone sees the layoffs.

Few are paying attention to who’s benefiting—and why.

Let’s zoom out in Part 2 - What Most People are Oblivious To